Osun was a Miracle. APC planned to rig shamelessly and succeeded in so many places scientifically and mathematically: cutting PDP victory in some places, inflating their own figures in other places – a hundred there, two hundred here, cutting it really close to look legit.
Let me do a quick thread on the three things that saved PDP in Osun apart from our collective efforts: The Adeleke-Underdog Strategy, Senator Iyiola Omisore and Focus on Osogbo not Ede where the election was actually decided. It was a victory for high strategy and experience.
Recall that Ekiti was lost because the APC came at Fayose with everything they could muster – it was like the entire hordes of APC he’ll against one man. In Osun, Adeleke was positioned as the underdog who was not a threat and APC focused on Omisore instead and invaded Ife.
Osogbo wasn’t the game changer and some of us knew all along but we needed to turn focus to Osogbo because APC could rig outrageously there. The game changer was Ede – and the figures confirm our calculation was 10/10 here – a solid margin delivered, home and dry.
Most difficult to execute was the underdog strategy – we could easily have defended Senator Adeleke on every issue he was attacked with but APC, feeling triumphant after defeating Fayose – couldn’t understand what was going on: how many votes can a dancing senator get? You couldn’t even tell there was an election from many PDP TL’s but far back as over a month ago, the recce was done with the full backing of the party and we identified what to work on. Bukola Saraki literally pulled PDP back into it with the Ogunbiyi-Adeleke reconciliation.
Not over on paper but onground: it is over and the gloves are off. We’re going forward as topdogs now – the Adeleke Dynasty is their daddy’s daddy: PDP has won Osun, the rest is formality and APC has only one option: Rig shamelessly and get exposed – Demola may not even play.
Their daddy in Aso Rock is a goner. Their daddy in Lagos is upset that Aso Rock didn’t do everything to give him Osun yesterday – but doing that would have exposed the Aso Rock plan for 2019 too early and Osun wasn’t worth it for them. And this one is crucial to the matter.
A divided entity is a vanquished entity – APC is divided. Two Govs and one Gov-elect were practically working with another candidate, against the APC candidate who calls them the axis of evil along with one minister. (You know I can name names but the game is still on.)
